Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.005221 0.005774 0.006373 0.007072 0.007868 0.008748 0.009801
2025-07-20 0.004406 0.005182 0.006090 0.007239 0.008666 0.010397 0.012682
2025-07-27 0.003850 0.004709 0.005765 0.007173 0.009030 0.011432 0.014836
2025-08-03 0.003477 0.004387 0.005549 0.007169 0.009412 0.012474 0.017090
2025-08-10 0.003160 0.004090 0.005316 0.007088 0.009645 0.013305 0.019131
2025-08-17 0.002946 0.003901 0.005197 0.007135 0.010042 0.014389 0.021685
2025-08-24 0.002728 0.003682 0.005011 0.007054 0.010226 0.015159 0.023842
2025-08-31 0.002502 0.003431 0.004754 0.006838 0.010168 0.015525 0.025361
2025-09-07 0.002358 0.003288 0.004638 0.006819 0.010410 0.016395 0.027883
2025-09-14 0.002291 0.003249 0.004673 0.007034 0.011050 0.018009 0.032043
2025-09-21 0.002148 0.003086 0.004504 0.006903 0.011084 0.018555 0.034222
2025-09-28 0.002019 0.002935 0.004341 0.006766 0.011092 0.019045 0.036361
2025-10-05 0.001922 0.002832 0.004254 0.006761 0.011357 0.020097 0.040002
2025-10-12 0.001864 0.002788 0.004260 0.006919 0.011944 0.021872 0.045687
2025-10-19 0.001770 0.002678 0.004149 0.006857 0.012103 0.022798 0.049591
2025-10-26 0.001694 0.002594 0.004075 0.006853 0.012372 0.023992 0.054444
2025-11-02 0.001613 0.002495 0.003967 0.006776 0.012482 0.024852 0.058634
2025-11-09 0.001558 0.002437 0.003925 0.006820 0.012847 0.026340 0.064946
2025-11-16 0.001488 0.002350 0.003826 0.006744 0.012947 0.027222 0.069752
2025-11-23 0.001405 0.002233 0.003668 0.006540 0.012744 0.027342 0.072286
2025-11-30 0.001354 0.002172 0.003606 0.006522 0.012954 0.028523 0.078533
2025-12-07 0.001337 0.002170 0.003652 0.006726 0.013691 0.031180 0.090600
2025-12-14 0.001277 0.002087 0.003544 0.006601 0.013647 0.031755 0.095548